Wednesday, September 26, 2012

9/26/12 Picks

Charlize Theron - CTHER

As a result of the successful Prometheus pushing CTHER up in value, there was a large sell-off of the stock, leaving it at a price of $52.16, well below the TAG of $65,107,260.  The next film to fall out of TAG range for CTHER is Astro Boy, which grossed $19,548,064.  When ASBOY falls out of TAG range, CTHER will adjust to $61.20, a gain of $8.04 (15.41%) over the current value.

This is a nice attractive guaranteed gain, and there is the potential for a much larger gain.  Theron is starring in  Mad Max: Fury Road, which has the potential for a nice box-office profit.  The film's stock (MMAX4) is currently trading at $67.72.  If the film ends up being valued at this price, CTHER would climb an additional $13.54 over the guaranteed gain of $8.04, for a total gain of $21.58 per share (41.4%).

Monday, September 24, 2012

9/24/12 Picks

Kate Beckinsale - KBECK

It will take a little patience to make money off of KBECK, but there's a guaranteed profit at the end of the wait.  KBECK is currently trading at $33.22, well below the TAG of $41,201,916.  The next film to drop out of TAG range is Whiteout (2009), which will adjust her price to $39.15, a $5.93 per share, or 17.85%.

No release date has been set for Beckinsale's next film, The Trials of Cate McCall, though IMDB lists it for a 2013 release.  Even if the film is released in limited release and makes little profit, KBECK is still well worth investing in.  If the film performs as well as HSX investors believe it will - TTOCM currently is trading at $14.78, KBECK would get pushed near the $42 range.

Beckinsale doesn't have any other films on the horizon, so the only risk associated with the stock is if TTOCM does not receive a theatrical release.  Still, Beckinsale is a hard working actress, and appeared in eight HSX films between 2007 and the present.  Even if TTOCM doesn't come through and investors have to hold KBECK a bit longer, the 17.85% guarantee is too attractive to ignore for anyone with a portfolio of a decent size.

Friday, September 21, 2012

9/21/2012 Picks

Julianna Marguiles - JMARG

JMARG currently is selling for a price of $11.78 per share, below a TAG of $14,712,879.  The next film to leave TAG range is the 2002 George Hickenlooper film The Man From Elysian Fields, which grossed only $1,431,625.  This means that when her next film comes out (currently slated for January, 2013), JMARG will adjust to a guaranteed minimum of $14.43, a gain of 22.5% over its current value in only four months.

What makes this stock especially attractive is that her upcoming film, Stand Up Guys, has the potential to make a little money, raising JMARG even further.  The film co-stars Al Pacino and Christopher Walken as a pair of hit men, almost ensuring at least a modest performance at the box office.  The film's stock (STUPG) currently trades at $19.28).  If the film were to gross $19.28 million, as the HSX market is currently predicting, JMARG's stock would reach $18.29, a 55.3% gain.