Wednesday, September 30, 2009

9/30/09 Picks

Jena Malone - JMALO

Jena Malone will be starring in Ben Foster's directorial debut The Messenger in November, pushing Saved! out of TAG range. JMALO has fallen to $12.94, significantly lower than her price of $16,730,410. When The Messenger is released, JMALO will reach a minimum of $14.97. The Messenger will have a limited release, so it is unlikely it will gross large amounts of money, but a gain of $2.03, or 15.7% per share in a few months, is definitely worth the investment.

Tuesday, September 29, 2009

9/29/09 Picks

Mike Newell - MNEWE

Due to the long time between films for most directors, their stocks often fall far below their value. Mike Newell is a steady working director, releasing films every 2 or 3 years, yet MNEWE is more than $14 below his current tag. The next film to fall out of TAG range will be Donnie Brasco, which grossed a little over $40. Once MNEWE corrects after the release of his next film, Prince of Persia, he will reach $65.34 a share, a modest but safe gain of $6.21 per share (10.5%) in about half a year. This won't set your portfolio on fire, but it is significantly better than letting the cash gain interest. Additionally, if Prince of Persia is the hit Disney is banking on, this stock could soare much higher. But even if Prince of Persia doesn't make a dime, MNEWE is a good buy.

Monday, September 28, 2009

9/28/09 Picks

Antoine Fuqua - AFUQU

While researching the value of WSNIP, I was alerted to the value of AFUQU. Antoine Fuqua's film Brooklyn's Finest comes out in November, displacing Training Day from TAG range. Though Training Day was a major success, AFUQU has fallen so far that even without it in TAG range, AFUQU is undervalued.

After Brooklyn's Finest is released, AFUQU will shoot up to a minimum of $28.50, a climb of $9.16 per share over the current $19.34 price of AFUQU. So if you max out on AFUQU, you will gain at least $183,200 in about three months.

Sunday, September 27, 2009

9/27/09 Picks

Wesley Snipes - WSNIP


WSNIP understandably dropped in price due to Snipes's recent legal problems. The stock price has fallen to $20.03, well below his TAG of $36,462,365. Though his future career is questionable and I wouldn't recommend anyone buying WSNIP as a long-term investment, it can be purchased for a quick gain. This November, the film Brooklyn's Finest will be released in late November, and will cause WSNIP to reach a minimum of $35.33, a gain of $15.30 per share in a few months. Brooklyn's Finest is directed by Antoine Fuqua, whose last four films have each grossed a minimum of $43 million. If Brooklyn's Finest maintains this trend, the stock would hit $43.93, more than doubling the stock's current value. But that is just speculation. Even if the film doesn't make a dime, WSNIP is a sure thing investment.

Saturday, September 26, 2009

9/26/09 Picks

Val Kilmer - VKILM

Though there's talk of Val Kilmer taking a break from acting to run for office in New Mexico, he will be appearing in the 2010 film Saturday Night Live spin-off MacGruber. This will knock Mindhunters out of TAG range, pushing his depressed price of $8.03 up to a minimum of $13.77, a gain of at least $5.74, or 41.7%, in less than a year.

Friday, September 25, 2009

9/25/09 Picks

Orlando Bloom - OBLOO

As the Pirates of the Caribbean films fall out of TAG range, lots of money can be made by shorting OBLOO over the coming years. However, when New York, I Love You is released next month, the next film to fall out of TAG range is Kingdom of Heaven. Luckily for investors, OBLOO is already far below its rightful price, and thus the stock will shoot up in the coming months.

The current price of OBLOO is $82.35, while his TAG will adjust to $105.40 after New York, I Love You hits theaters. This means a gain of $23.05 per share in just a few months.

Thursday, September 24, 2009

9/24/09 Picks

Tim Roth - TROTH

Tim Roth doesn't have any films scheduled for release on his HSX page, which is part of the reason TROTH is a depressed $9.62, far below his TAG of $27,311,034. It's unclear when his next HSX qualifying film will be released, but his work on the TV show "Lie to Me" will likely slow down his output. However, if you're willing to hold this stock for awhile, it will eventually nearly triple in value. Once his next film is released, TROTH will rise to a minimum of $27.22, a gain of $17.60 per share. Because TROTH is priced so low, you can buy the maximum amount of shares for only $192,400, so you will have plenty of funds to trade on investments that will pay off more quickly. However, if you can wait, you will gain a minimum of $352,000 if you max out on TROTH.

Wednesday, September 23, 2009

9/23/09 Picks

Amy Ryan - AMRYA

Amy Ryan, after taking some time to appear in NBC's The Office, will be appearing in The Green Zone in March, 2010. This will knock Looking for Comedy in the Muslim World out of TAG range. This will push her stock, which has deflated to $12.26, back up to a minimum of $22.15, almost $10 per share. It will take half a year to capitalize on this, but since the price of AMRYA is so low, it does not require a large percentage of your portfolio.

Tuesday, September 22, 2009

9/22/2009 Picks

Paul Bettany - PBETT

Paul Bettany has two films coming out soon, The Young Victoria and Legion. His stock is depressed at $55.65. When his stock adjusts, it will reach a minimum of $64.27. So this means a gain of 13.5% in a few short months.

Monday, September 21, 2009

9/21/2009 Picks Part 2

Ken Watanabe - KWATA

Taking over 2 years off between movies will help depress nearly every starbond, but KWATA has particularly suffered. With Ken Watanabe's apperance in the upcoming The Vampire's Assistant, KWATA will shoot back up. His current price is $43.24, far below his TAG of $77,471,867. Part of the lower price is due to the fact that The Last Samurai will be falling out of TAG range, but this should only count for a roughly $22 fall. After the release of The Vampire's Assistant, KWATA will shoot back up to a minimum of $55.25, a 21.8% gain in just under two months. And, of course, KWATA can shoot up even more if the current vampire craze benefits The Vampire's Assistant.

9/21/2009 Picks

Sigourney Weaver - SWEAV

As much buzz as the upcoming Avatar is getting, it's a steal that a starbond of someone appearing in the film could be trading at a non-premium level, let alone below adjus price. SWEAV is currently at $74.71 per share, while her TAG is $81,437,460. When SWEAV adjusts, it will reach $81.43. This is a nice gain of 8.3%; nothing amazing, but nothing to sneeze at in a little over three months. However, Avatar currently has a price of about $200.02 per share, meaning HSX traders think this is going to be a major grosser. This stock will likely soar, but is guaranteed to rise at least $6.72 per share.

Sunday, September 20, 2009

9/20/2009 Picks Part 3

Peter Fonda - PFOND

It's been 2 years since Peter Fonda starred in his last film, but this October will be appearing in Boondock Saints II. PFOND has fallen to $16.61, while his TAG is $37,066,143. His stock will leap up to a minimum of $33.88 after the release of Boondock, meaning a quick doubling of the stock value in only a few months . So if you max out on PFOND, you will walk away with $345,400.

9/20/2009 Picks Part 2

Nick Cannon - NCANN

The host of America's Got Talent will be starring in Ball Don't Lie in November, which should help his deflated stock price shoot back up. NCANN is currently at $10.35, less than half the value of its current price of $21,592,635. His stock will hit $20.46 once the film is released 2 months from now, meaning the stock will almost double in only a few months.

9/20/2009 Picks

James McAvoy - JMCAV

It's unclear when James McAvoy's next film will be released. According to IMDB, he has 3 films in pre-production, while Gnomeo and Juliet still has a long way to go before it is ready to be released. When his next film is released, he stands to gain big. His stock price is a severely deflated $17.13, while his TAG is $42, 820,266. When his TAG adjusts after his next release, it will hit $42.78, a gain of $25.65 per share. It may take awhile to collect, but any time a stock is guaranteed to more than double, it is a must buy.

Saturday, September 19, 2009

9/19/2009 Picks Part 4

Keri Russell - KERUS

The starbonds of big stars are the most widely traded, but trading in those who fly under the radar a bit can be much more financially rewarding. Keri Russell hasn't replicated her television success in the film world, but her appearances in Mission: Impossible III and Bedtime Stories have driven up the value of her TAG to $62,572,174. Yet her stock price remains at a deflated $44.37. When Crowley is released in March, her TAG will reach $58.82, a gain of $14.45 per share in half a year. If Crowley, starring Harrison Ford, does well, this stock will jump even higher. Just make sure to sell KERUS as soon as the stock adjusts after Crowley, because her next film to fall out of TAG range is Mission: Impossible III. Unless she gets cast in a hit movie, KERUS will take a big hit from this, so take your big gain and sell.

9/19/2009 Picks Part 3

Michelle Monaghan - MMONA

Michelle Monaghan has an indie film coming out to replace Mission: Impossible III in TAG range, yet she's a steal right now. This would be suprising, if not for the fact that MMONA has lost half its value in the past year since the release of Eagle Eye. The current price for MMONA is $32.63, while her TAG is $67,515,688. Once MMONA adjusts after Trucker is released (it is set for limited release on October 9th of this year), MMONA will adjust to a minimum of $40.84. It is unlikely Trucker will make much money, so the stock likely won't climb much higher than $41, but there's an easy $8 per share here, and it will only take a few months to collect.

9/19/2009 Picks Part 2

Saoirse Ronan - SRONA

It's been almost a year since Saoirse Ronan appeared in City of Ember, and her stock price has fallen to $12.49, significantly less than her TAG of $19,598,997. Like my last pick, Susan Sarandon, Ronan will appear later this year in The Lovely Bones. Once the film is released and her stock is adjusted, SRONA will reach $14.70, a small but respectable (and guaranteed) rise of 15% in only a few months.

Because SRONA will only have 4 films in her TAG, a small success from The Lovely Bones could lead to a big gain. If The Lovely Bones grosses $30 million, would push the stock to $22.20, a substantial gain. But even if it doesn't make a dime, this stock is a good buy.

Friday, September 18, 2009

9/19/2009 Picks

Susan Sarandon - SSARA

When Susan Sarandon's next film is released, it will knock the little-seen Romance and Cigarettes out of TAG range. This alone would make the buy tempting, but when you consider that the film replacing it is the Oscar-hyped and Peter Jackson helmed The Lovely Bones, the upside is great.

SSARA is currently trading at $34.13, while her TAG is $40,944,592. After the release of The Lovely Bones, SSARA will correct to $40.84, a gain of $6.71 per share (16.5%) in a little over 3 months, risk free.

And, of course, if The Lovely Bones is anywhere near as popular as the novel was, the gain will be much higher. But that, of course, is pure speculation.

9/18/09 Picks Part 5

Amanda Bynes - ABYNE

Though she's moved more towards television (her pilot Canned was, well, canned earlier this year), Bynes still has feature films in her future. She signed a two picture deal earlier this year with Screen Gems, and a sequel to Hairspray is in development.

Yet despite this, impatient investors have pushed ABYNE down to $28.66, well below her TAG of $65,680,666. Though her next film will push What a Girl Wants and its $36 million box office out of TAG range, a big gain is available here at no risk. Once her next film is released, the TAG will adjust to a minimum of $58.48, nearly a $30 gain per share. It will be awhile until you can collect, but Bynes will do another film soon and you will benefit from the impatience of those who sold shares of ABYNE.

9/18/09 Picks Part 4

LWISE - Len Wiseman

Like the last pick I offered, Alexander Payne, it is unclear when Len Wiseman's next film will be released. Wiseman has signed on to direct adaptations of two graphic novels for Dreamworks, Shrapnel and Atlantis Rising. Whenever he does make another movie, his stock stands to rise significantly.

Wiseman's current TAG is $82,776,673, while his stock is significantly deflated at $32.76. When his next film is released, the TAG will adjust to a minimum of $62.08, nearly doubling the value of the current price. Considering Wiseman's successful track record (his lowest grossing film pulled in over $50 million) and that there will only be four films to average out, this stock could jump significantly higher whenever his next film is released. If you have enough money to make a long term investment that you won't be able to collect on for a couple years, you can double your money on LWISE.

9/18/09 Picks Part 3

ALPAY - Alexander Payne

This one will take a little while to capitalize on, but it will be a huge gain. ALPAY is currently trading at $8.36, with a TAG of $31,329,967. When Alexander Payne's next movie comes out (when this is is unclear), the TAG will correct to a minimum of $31.26, a 374% gain. The downside is that its unclear when Alexander Payne's next film will be released. In August, FilmJunk reported that he will be directing The Descendants, to be released in 2011. Whether this will come to pass is unclear, but since Payne has not directed a feature length film since 2004's Sideways, it is only a matter of time until he directs another film. Even if you have to wait a few years, it is well worth it to rake in a minimum 374% gain, especially since buying the max number of shares only ties up $167,200. And when you consider that Payne's last two feature length films grossed at least $65 million each, ALPAY could soar. However, patience is required.

9/18/09 Picks Part 2

MGIBS - Mel Gibson

Some of the best sure-things on HSX can be found with starbonds of those who take a long time between projects (such as film directors). This long break causes people to sell their shares, driving down the price. Once the price gets low enough, the stock can be an easy way to pick up cash.

Mel Gibson has not had a film since 2006's Apocalypto, but in January, 2010 he will star in Edge of Darkness, his first role since 2003's The Singing Detective. Whether Mel can still carry a film to box office success remains to be seen, but even if Edge of Darkness doesn't make a dime, there is big profit to be made.

The current trade price for MGIBS is $70.58, a full $50.88 below his TAG. Though Edge of Darkness is knocking the $78 million grossing We Were Soldiers out of TAG range, the price for MGIBS is so low that a large profit will be made. When the TAG adjusts, MGIBS will reach $105.83, a gain of $35.25 per share (33%) in under half a year. If you can afford 50,000 shares of MGIBS (a cool $3,529,000), you will walk away with a minimum profit of $1,762,500, absolutely risk free. And if Mel still has his mojo, the profit will be even bigger.

9/18/09 Picks

CCRAW - Chace Crawford

Chace Crawford's current TAG is $12,214,094, with a trading price of $8.91. He's only appeared in two movies so far, but has Footloose coming out in June, 2010. Once Footloose is released and the price adjusts, his price will reach $12.21, a 27% gain in under a year. The added benefit is that because the price of CCRAW is so low right now, you can buy up the max number of shares while only tying up $178,200.00, so this is a good buy for people with smaller portals looking for a minimum of 27% gain in about 10 months. And if Footloose catches on with the teen crowd, who knows how high this can reach.

Thursday, September 17, 2009

9/17/09 Emmys Edition

Here's a way to make a quick $3900 (hey, every bit helps).

In the Emmy derivatives category, under Best Drama, short every single option. No matter who wins, you will make money.

If Mad Men wins, you will be out $13.06 per share. You will, however, gain $13.19 per share, for a net of $0.13 per share.

If LOST wins, you will be out $16.05 per share. You will gain $16.18 per share, for a net of $0.13 per share.

If Damages takes home the trophy, the damages are $20.47 per share. The gain will be $20.60. Once again $0.13 per share.

If it's Dexter, you're out $19.82, but you're up $19.95. Still $0.13.

For Breaking Bad, the bad news amounts to $16.96, but the good news is $17.09. Yup, $0.13.

Big Love will cost you $19.30 but bring in a dowry of $1943. $0.13.

Finally, House will cost $20.21, but bring in $20.34.

So, as you see, no matter what you choose, you can gain $0.13 per share. So, if you max out on shares, you can take in a quick $1300.


However, I promised a quick $3900, so we still have $2600 to go. To do this, buy every contender for Best Comedy.

If it's 30 Rock, you gain 12.02 per share, while losing $11.76. $0.26 per share.

If it's Entourage, you gain $19.56 per share, while dropping $19.30. $0.26.

Family Guy will bring in $20.34, losing $20.08. $0.26.

Flight of the Conchords takes in $19.30, losing $19.04, for $0.26.

How I Met Your Mother brings $19.43, losing $19.17, $0.26.

Weeds brings you $19.04, losing $18.78, for $0.26.

Finally, The Office would take in $16.57, dropping $16.31, still $0.26.

So, if you buy all shares of Best Comedy and short all shares of Best Drama, you gain a quick and easy $3900 that will be repaid Monday, September 21st. However, if you want to make your profit, make your purchases during this coming weekend so you don't pay brokerage fees, or you will lose your profit.

Finally, if you want to try to make a little extra to make it worth your while, you can take a risk and leave out a few shows in your purchase (for example, when buying all comedies, if you think Flight of the Conchords has no chance and want to leave it out, you can leave that out (or take a bigger risk and short it). This could earn you a bigger reward, but if you're wrong and it pulls an upset, you will be taking a big hit.

Happy trading.

9/17/09 Picks Part 2

OWILS - Owen Wilson

When The Fantastic Mr. Fox comes out later this year, Owen Wilson's stock will shoot up to what it should be. Right now his price is hovering at $66.80, but once the indie The Wendell Baker Story is taken out of his TAG, the stock will correct to $72.97, a $6.17 per share gain (8.5%). I'm having a tough time predicting what The Fantastic Mr. Fox will do in the box office, but even a modest $30 million gross would push the stock up 15.5% from its current price, a solid gain for a 3 month investment.

9/17/09 Picks

MFREE - Morgan Freeman

Later this year Morgan Freeman will star in Clint Eastwood's Invictus. This will push Feast of Love out of TAG range. His per-share price is $85.97, while his TAG is $100.31. Since Feast of Love grossed only $3,504,875, MFREE will shoot up once it adjusts. Not taking into account the grosses of Invictus, MFREE will reach $99.61, a gain of just under 14% in about 3.5 months. Buying 20,000 shares of MFREE will cost you $1,719,400, but the walkaway price is a guaranteed $1,992,200. The stock stands to gain much more, though, since Invictus could be a big grosser. With early Oscar buzz, a cast of Morgan Freeman and Matt Damon, and Clint Eastwood at the helm, this could make big gains on top of the guaranteed gains.

The average gross for Clint Eastwood directed films since 2000 is $67.29 million, with an average of $43.29 for films he does not star in. If Invictus matches the average of Clint's films that he does not star in, it would add $8.66 per share to MFREE's guaranteed price of 99.61, totaling 108.27. If the film only matches his lowest grossing film of the past decade, Letters from Iwo Jima, $2.75 per share will be added, totaling $102.36, a 16% gain from the current price. MFREE is a great buy for a 3.5 month turnaround.

Wednesday, September 16, 2009

9/16/2009 Picks Part 2

JBLAC - Jack Black

Jack Black's next film won't be out until winter of 2010, but if you have enough cash to spend $1,356,000 and leave it to gain interest for awhile, you will experience a large gain. When Gulliver's Travels comes out, delisting Walk Hard: The Dewey Cox Story, it will send JBLAC's price to $76.06, before his next film's profits are even taken into consideration, a nice 11% gain ($165,200 if you buy the maximum amount of shares). What makes this buy even more attractive is that his upcoming film is an adaptation of Gulliver's Travels. If the film were to match the box office of the financially disappointing Year One, it would send JBLAC's price to $84.73, a 20% gain. 11% over 15 months isn't aggressive investing, and I wouldn't recommend tying up your money if you have a portfolio of under $50M or so, but if you have uninvested cash, this is an easy gain of at least 11%.

9/16/2009 Picks

CNOLA - Christopher Nolan

Christopher Nolan's price has plummeted since the adjust of The Dark Knight. His price is down to $79.06. The film Inception will come out in July, 2010, pushing Memento out of TAG range. Even if Inception does not make a dime, once CNOLA adjusts, the price would be $115.14. This is a $36.08 profit per share, a 46% gain in 10 months. If you buy 20,000 shares of CNOLA and hold until it adjusts, you are guaranteed a gain of $721,600.00. Of course, Inception will make more than $0 (it has a current HSX value of $138.08). So there is plenty of room for profit on this one.

First post

The way to make big money on HSX, as long time players can tell you, is to max out, either long or short, on opening week releases. These prices will often swing wildly after a single weekend, giving astute traders a chance to rake in quick, cool millions.

This blog isn't about these kind of trades. Even the best prognosticators are often wildly off in their predictions. This blog is about finding quick values, sure things (yes, there are sure things in HSX due to the rules of the game). I will not make recommendations unless they are 90% likely or more to earn you money, and most of my picks will be absolute sure things.

I have lifetime earnings on the game of nearly half a billion dollars and am in the 99th percentile. While much of my wealth has been earned through opening week releases, I have earned many, many millions from making money exploiting the inefficiencies of the game. If you follow my picks, I guarantee you will too.