Friday, November 27, 2009

11/27/09 Picks

Danny Trejo - DTREJ

Character actor Danny Trejo hasn't been in a film in a few years, but will be appearing in Predators this coming July, which will push Sherrybaby out of TAG range. DTREJ will only jump a little bit, from $16.50 to $18.28. This investment wouldn't normally be worth the time, but Predators should gross quite a bit of money, which would make this an excellent buy. But even if the film doesn't make a dime, you are guaranteed a small gain, 10.8% in half a year, which is still quite a bit more than you would earn having cash in your portfolio.

Saturday, November 14, 2009

11/14/2009

Ray Winstone - RWINS

Sorry for my vacation from posting, took a little unannounced break. I checked into my profile today, and I continue to be surprised that people have not caught on to the depressed price of RWINS. The current price is $72.19, far below his TAG of $107,137,713. The reason for the drop is that The Departed will fall out of TAG range, which will cause his stock to fall significantly. However, it will reach a minimum of $80.66, a full $8.47 above his current price (11.7%). His next film is 44 Inch Chest, but since this will likely receive limited release, Edge of Darkness will be his next film that causes an adjust. The film stars Mel Gibson and is written by William Monahan (writer of The Departed), and should make enough money to drive up RWINS well above the guaranteed $8.47 gain. But either way, this is a must buy stock.

Wednesday, November 4, 2009

11/4/09 Picks

Maggie Grace - MGRAC

Former LOST star Maggie Grace will appear in next year's Knight & Day, which is good news for investors in MGRAC. Her stock has fallen to $37.15 from a TAG of $59,361,990. When her stock adjusts next July after the film is released, it will correct to at least $44.52, a gain of $7.37 per share. Considering the film has potential to be a big hit, this is a definite buy.

Tuesday, November 3, 2009

11/3/09 Picks

Oliver Martinez - OMART

It's been a long while since Oliver Martinez appeared in a film, which has caused his stock to tumble. OMART is currently trading at $21.07, while his TAG is $41,965,028. His next film, Knight & Day, will be released in July, 2010. After OMART adjusts, it will reach a minimum of $41.12, a gain of $20.05 (48.8%). A gain of 48.8% in less than a year is a must buy. And since Knight & Day will co-star Tom Cruise and Cameron Diaz, it has the potential to gross big money (its current HSX value is $52.23), which would drive OMART even higher. Buy this one quickly.

Friday, October 30, 2009

10/30/09 Picks

Rob Minkoff - RMINK

Once again, a film director offers one of the best possible HSX buys. Rob Minkoff has four films in development, according to IMDB, and has so far released three films this decade. Yet his stock has fallen to $48.89, far below his TAG of $83,152,406. Upon his next film's release, his TAG will adjust to a minimum of $66.52, a gain of $17.63 per share. Granted, this stock will take awhile to collect on, and you shouldn't invest in RMINK if you don't have a large port that can afford to have some money tied up for awhile. But considering that Minkoff tends to direct big family films, his low price offers a great buy, even though you'll have to hold onto it for awhile.

Thursday, October 29, 2009

10/29/09 Picks

Bill Condon - BCOND

It's not certain what director Bill Condon's next film will be, but it's likely that at some point in the near future he will film a biopic of Richard Pryor. When he does, his stock will adjust, creating a big gain. BCOND will reach a minimum of $30.00, a gain of $21.19 from its currently deflated price of $8.81. It could take a couple years until the film adjusts, but since BCOND will adjust well over 200%. A gain that big is always worth the investment.

Wednesday, October 28, 2009

10/28/09 Picks

Woody Harrelson - WHARR

Okay, this one's a bit of a cheat. While you're guaranteed to make money on WHARR, you won't make much. The current price is $27.17, and when WHARR adjusts after the release of 2012, it will adjust to $27.66. This is only a gain of $0.50 per share, usually not worth the investment. However, 2012 has the potential to be a huge hit, and could earn you big money. 2012 is currently trading at $159.85. If 2012 makes even half of that the box office, WHARR would adjust to $43.66. This would be a gain of $16.49 per share. So you're guaranteed to make a little money on WHARR, but you stand to make much, much more.

Saturday, October 24, 2009

10/24/09 Picks

Rob Corddry - RCORD

This Daily Show alum will be appearing in Hot Tub Time Machine in March of next year, which will knock Semi-Pro out of TAG range. He is currently trading at $24.72, while his TAG is $35,471,436. After RCORD adjusts, it will reach a minimum of $28.78, a gain of $4.06 (16.4%). Not a huge gain, but definitely worth investing for a few months.

Tuesday, October 20, 2009

10/20/09 Picks

Rebecca Hall - RBHAL

Not all stocks can offer the huge gains that yesterday's pick promises. But if you build up a portfolio of many sure things, you can make big money. Rebecca Hall will not be appearing in a film until September, 2010, when she will appear in The Town. Her current price is $16.40, but after RBHAL adjusts upon the release of The Town, her stock will hit a minimum of $19.02, a gain of 16% per share. This stock will take a year to collect, but if you have a large port and plenty of money, a 16% per gain year is far greater than what you would make in interest if you kept the stock as cash.

Monday, October 19, 2009

10/19/09 Picks

David Spade - DSPAD

This stock won't adjust until July, 2010, after the release of Grown Ups, but there will be big gains . DSPAD is currently trading at $16.41, while his TAG is $51,069,274. When DSPAD adjusts, it will hit $46.52, a gain of $30.11 per share, nearly tripling in value. And Grown Ups, co-starring Adam Sandler, has the potential to be a major hit, which would drive DSPAD up even further. Though this stock will take awhile to appreciate, any stock that will almost triple in value (and could do far more) in a year is a must buy.

Saturday, October 17, 2009

10/17/09 Picks

Pierce Brosnan - PBROS

This one's a bit complicated, but bear with me. Pierce Brosnan's price is currently $16.47, while is TAG is $31,665,076. He has two films releasing wide on the same date next February, Remember Me and Percy Jackson & the Olympians. This will knock two films out of TAG range, The Matador and Deep Blue. Thus, when PBROS adjusts after these two films release, it will adjust to a minimum of $29.13, a gain of $12.66 per share. What makes this stock particularly attractive is that Remember Me stars current heartthrob Robert Pattinson of Twilight fame, while Percy Jackson is currently trading at $58.43. Both of these films have the potential to gross big, which could push the stock well above $29.13. But regardless, this is a safe investment with big, assured gains.

Friday, October 16, 2009

10/16/09 Picks

Phillip Noyce - PNOYC

Phillip Noyce last directed 2006's Catch a Fire, and the gap in time has caused his stock to fall from a TAG of $30,259,287 to $12.77. When PNOYC adjusts, it will reach a minimum of $17.99, a gain of $5.22 (40.9%) per share in about 8 months. It's a long time to hold a stock, but the gain is significant enough that if you can afford to tie up a little money, this is definitely worth the investment.

Thursday, October 15, 2009

10/15/09 Picks

Rob Schneider - RSCHN

Not surprisingly, Rob Schneider will be appearing in the upcoming Adam Sandler comedy Grown Ups. RSCHN is a depressed $45.60, while his TAG is $61,141,667. Once RSCHN adjusts, it will reach a minimum of $56.69, a gain of $11.04 per share in less than a year. And if Grown Ups is as successful as most of Adam Sandler's big comedies, the stock could soar even higher. But there is guaranteed money to be made in RSCHN whether Grown Ups is a hit or not.

Wednesday, October 14, 2009

10/14/09 Picks

Rob Reiner- RREIN

Rob Reiner is set to release his new film Flipped in September, 2010. This is over a year away, so investing in RREIN is a long-term investment, but there are big gains to be made. RREIN currently trades at $20.06, well below the TAG of $37,582,699. Once Flipped is released, RREIN will correct to $34.74, a gain of $14.68 (73.2%) in about a year. A year is a long time to not have access to money, but 20,000 shares would only cost $401,200, so if you can afford to lose this money you will make a big return.

Tuesday, October 13, 2009

10/13/09 Picks

Betty Thomas - BTHOM

When the Alvin & the Chipmunks sequel is released in December, BTHOM will correct from a severely depressed price of $25.22, far below her TAG of $59,301,108 to a minimum of $51.06, a gain of at least $25.84 per share in a few months. What makes this stock even more appealing is that Alvin & the Chipmunks is currently trading at $129.14. This means that HSX traders predict big success for this film. BTHOM is a guaranteed big return, but if Alvin does well, BTHOM can make your month.

Monday, October 12, 2009

10/12/09 Picks

Bobby & Peter Farrelly - FARRE

The Farrelly Brothers last released a film in October, 2007. which has caused the price of FARRE to fall to $27.09 from the TAG of $39,420,787. When their next film is released, The Three Stooges, FARRE will adjust to a minimum of $36.70, a gain of $9.61 per share (35.5%). The Three Stooges has been in development for a long time, so the release could always end up getting pushed back beyond the December, 2010 date posted by HSX. But even if this film takes years to be released, a 35.5% per share gain is worth the wait.

Saturday, October 10, 2009

10/10/09 Picks

Nathan Fillion - NFILL

Nathan Fillion is appearing in the film Trucker, released yesterday. NFILL is currently trading at $10.25, more than $7 per share below the TAG value of $17,392,765. When NFILL adjusts, it will reach a minimum of $13.04, a gain of $2.79 per share (27.2%). This isn't a huge gain, but a gain of 27.2% in three months is always worth the investment, especially since you only have to tie up $205,000 to make this investment.

Thursday, October 8, 2009

10/8/2009 Picks

F. Gary Gray - FGGRA

Director F. Gary Gray has not released a film since 2005's Be Cool, but the release of Law Abiding Citizen this month will help fix his overly depressed stock. FGGRA has fallen to $39.86, but once Law Abiding Citizen is released his price will correct to a minimum of $46.56, a guaranteed gain of $6.70 per share, a gain of 16.8%. HSX traders currently have Law Abiding Citizen at $38.93; if the film performs even half as well as HSX traders believe it will, another $4 will be added to the share price. This is a good buy with a quick turnaround.

Wednesday, October 7, 2009

10/7/09 Picks

Peter Dinklage - PDINK

Peter Dinklage's appearance in The Chronicles of Narnia: Prince Caspian helped shoot his TAG up, but his stock has sagged in the past year. It has fallen to $16.17 from a TAG of $40,921,610. When he next appears in Saint John of Las Vegas in November, his stock will correct to $40.80, more than doubling in value for a gain of $24.63 per share, in a few months.

Tuesday, October 6, 2009

10/6/09 Picks Part 2

Adrian Grenier - AGREN

I'm not going to lie, I was tempted to post Vincent Chase - VCHAS. The Entourage star is soon to appear in Adventures of Power, displacing Drive Me Crazy from TAG range. This will drive AGREN from $12.30 to $25.21, more than doubling in about three months. Adventures of Power probably won't gross Aquaman like money, but even if it makes Medellin like money, you will make big money on AGREN.

10/6/09 Picks

Keanu Reeves - KREEV

Yesterday's pick offered big, guaranteed money. These easy no-brainers are few and far between. Yet plenty of money can be made with sure-thing starbonds by holding long scores of stocks guaranteed to make a few dollars.

Keanu Reeves will soon appear in the indie Private Lives of Pippa Lee, displacing the indie Thumbsucker from TAG range. KREEV currently trades at $28.49, almost $4.50 per share less than his TAG of $32,981,296. When his new film is released, KREEV will reach $32.72, a gain of $4.23 per share in a few months. This won't make you millions, but a portfolio full of stocks like KREEV will make you a fortune on HSX.

Monday, October 5, 2009

10/5/09 Picks

Nia Long - NLONG

After the time she spent playing Will Smith's wife on The Fresh Prince of Bel Air, Nia Long appeared in many films. She has cooled off in recent years, and her last film was 2007's Are We Done Yet? She is in the new Chris Rock documentary Good Hair, which should help correct the overly-depressed price of the stock.

NLONG is currently at $17.62, a fraction of the TAG value of $52,669,135. After the release of Good Hair, NLONG will correct to $49.99, a gain of a whopping $32.37 per share. This is a near tripling of the value, and if you buy the maximum number of shares, you will gain $647,400 in only a few months, while tying up only $352,400 of your port.

Sunday, October 4, 2009

10/4/09 Picks

Jason Flemyng - JFLEM

I limit postings on HSXpicks to sure-thing stocks. It's fun to go for the sure things that guarantee you many dollars per share gain. But other times, you can take a small sure-thing gain, with the potential for much more.

JFLEM is currently at $36.70, below the TAG of $49,295,676. When Clash of the Titans comes out in March, JFLEM will reach a minimum of $40.68, a respectable, though by no means amazing gain of just under $4 per share (10.8%). However, his next film Clash of the Titans has potential to be a big hit. HSX traders have priced it to $101.49. If the film performs to even half of that level, JFLEM would hit $50.68, a much more substantial gain. But even if Clash fails, there is solid money to be made on JFLEM.

Saturday, October 3, 2009

10/3/09 Picks

Joe Johnston - JOJOH

Joe Johnston is directing the upcoming film The Wolfman, coming out in early 2010. Johnston hasn't made a film in almost six years, which has caused his stock price to fall. His price is $57.90, significantly below his TAG of $93,712,259. When The Wolfman is released, JOJOH will adjust to $70.28, a gain of $12.38 per share. Of course, if The Wolfman does as well as Universal Pictures is hoping, the stock could shoot up from there. If The Wolfman grosses $50 million, the stock price would reach $82.78, a $24.38 per share gain. But even if the film fails completely, there is big money to be made off of JOJOH.

Thursday, October 1, 2009

10/1/09 Picks

Cherry Jones - CJONE

When I see a starbond trading nearly $32 a share below its TAG, my first assumption is that the performer was in a huge hit movie that will be moving out of TAG range, and traders are getting out when they can. When this is the case, there is little money to be made unless you buy early. The other likely culprit for these circumstances is a performer who hasn't appeared in a film in a long time, causing investors to sell their shares in order to pursue more lucrative investments. In these cases, if you are able to buy the starbond before the market notices the depressed value of a stock, you can make big money.

Cherry Jones last appeared in 2006's Swimmers, but will be appearing in Amelia in October. While the TAG is currently $107,462,577, CJONE's price is a significantly deflated $75.75. Part of the reason for this is that Amelia will push the very successful Divine Secrets of the Ya-Ya Sisterhood out of TAG range. But even though that film grossed just under $70 million, CJONE is so deflated that there is money to be made, even if Amelia doesn't make a dime. Once CJONE adjusts after the release of Amelia, the stock will reach a price of $93.54, a gain of $17.79 per share. If you max out on CJONE, that's an easy $355,800 in about a month.

Wednesday, September 30, 2009

9/30/09 Picks

Jena Malone - JMALO

Jena Malone will be starring in Ben Foster's directorial debut The Messenger in November, pushing Saved! out of TAG range. JMALO has fallen to $12.94, significantly lower than her price of $16,730,410. When The Messenger is released, JMALO will reach a minimum of $14.97. The Messenger will have a limited release, so it is unlikely it will gross large amounts of money, but a gain of $2.03, or 15.7% per share in a few months, is definitely worth the investment.

Tuesday, September 29, 2009

9/29/09 Picks

Mike Newell - MNEWE

Due to the long time between films for most directors, their stocks often fall far below their value. Mike Newell is a steady working director, releasing films every 2 or 3 years, yet MNEWE is more than $14 below his current tag. The next film to fall out of TAG range will be Donnie Brasco, which grossed a little over $40. Once MNEWE corrects after the release of his next film, Prince of Persia, he will reach $65.34 a share, a modest but safe gain of $6.21 per share (10.5%) in about half a year. This won't set your portfolio on fire, but it is significantly better than letting the cash gain interest. Additionally, if Prince of Persia is the hit Disney is banking on, this stock could soare much higher. But even if Prince of Persia doesn't make a dime, MNEWE is a good buy.

Monday, September 28, 2009

9/28/09 Picks

Antoine Fuqua - AFUQU

While researching the value of WSNIP, I was alerted to the value of AFUQU. Antoine Fuqua's film Brooklyn's Finest comes out in November, displacing Training Day from TAG range. Though Training Day was a major success, AFUQU has fallen so far that even without it in TAG range, AFUQU is undervalued.

After Brooklyn's Finest is released, AFUQU will shoot up to a minimum of $28.50, a climb of $9.16 per share over the current $19.34 price of AFUQU. So if you max out on AFUQU, you will gain at least $183,200 in about three months.

Sunday, September 27, 2009

9/27/09 Picks

Wesley Snipes - WSNIP


WSNIP understandably dropped in price due to Snipes's recent legal problems. The stock price has fallen to $20.03, well below his TAG of $36,462,365. Though his future career is questionable and I wouldn't recommend anyone buying WSNIP as a long-term investment, it can be purchased for a quick gain. This November, the film Brooklyn's Finest will be released in late November, and will cause WSNIP to reach a minimum of $35.33, a gain of $15.30 per share in a few months. Brooklyn's Finest is directed by Antoine Fuqua, whose last four films have each grossed a minimum of $43 million. If Brooklyn's Finest maintains this trend, the stock would hit $43.93, more than doubling the stock's current value. But that is just speculation. Even if the film doesn't make a dime, WSNIP is a sure thing investment.

Saturday, September 26, 2009

9/26/09 Picks

Val Kilmer - VKILM

Though there's talk of Val Kilmer taking a break from acting to run for office in New Mexico, he will be appearing in the 2010 film Saturday Night Live spin-off MacGruber. This will knock Mindhunters out of TAG range, pushing his depressed price of $8.03 up to a minimum of $13.77, a gain of at least $5.74, or 41.7%, in less than a year.

Friday, September 25, 2009

9/25/09 Picks

Orlando Bloom - OBLOO

As the Pirates of the Caribbean films fall out of TAG range, lots of money can be made by shorting OBLOO over the coming years. However, when New York, I Love You is released next month, the next film to fall out of TAG range is Kingdom of Heaven. Luckily for investors, OBLOO is already far below its rightful price, and thus the stock will shoot up in the coming months.

The current price of OBLOO is $82.35, while his TAG will adjust to $105.40 after New York, I Love You hits theaters. This means a gain of $23.05 per share in just a few months.

Thursday, September 24, 2009

9/24/09 Picks

Tim Roth - TROTH

Tim Roth doesn't have any films scheduled for release on his HSX page, which is part of the reason TROTH is a depressed $9.62, far below his TAG of $27,311,034. It's unclear when his next HSX qualifying film will be released, but his work on the TV show "Lie to Me" will likely slow down his output. However, if you're willing to hold this stock for awhile, it will eventually nearly triple in value. Once his next film is released, TROTH will rise to a minimum of $27.22, a gain of $17.60 per share. Because TROTH is priced so low, you can buy the maximum amount of shares for only $192,400, so you will have plenty of funds to trade on investments that will pay off more quickly. However, if you can wait, you will gain a minimum of $352,000 if you max out on TROTH.

Wednesday, September 23, 2009

9/23/09 Picks

Amy Ryan - AMRYA

Amy Ryan, after taking some time to appear in NBC's The Office, will be appearing in The Green Zone in March, 2010. This will knock Looking for Comedy in the Muslim World out of TAG range. This will push her stock, which has deflated to $12.26, back up to a minimum of $22.15, almost $10 per share. It will take half a year to capitalize on this, but since the price of AMRYA is so low, it does not require a large percentage of your portfolio.

Tuesday, September 22, 2009

9/22/2009 Picks

Paul Bettany - PBETT

Paul Bettany has two films coming out soon, The Young Victoria and Legion. His stock is depressed at $55.65. When his stock adjusts, it will reach a minimum of $64.27. So this means a gain of 13.5% in a few short months.

Monday, September 21, 2009

9/21/2009 Picks Part 2

Ken Watanabe - KWATA

Taking over 2 years off between movies will help depress nearly every starbond, but KWATA has particularly suffered. With Ken Watanabe's apperance in the upcoming The Vampire's Assistant, KWATA will shoot back up. His current price is $43.24, far below his TAG of $77,471,867. Part of the lower price is due to the fact that The Last Samurai will be falling out of TAG range, but this should only count for a roughly $22 fall. After the release of The Vampire's Assistant, KWATA will shoot back up to a minimum of $55.25, a 21.8% gain in just under two months. And, of course, KWATA can shoot up even more if the current vampire craze benefits The Vampire's Assistant.

9/21/2009 Picks

Sigourney Weaver - SWEAV

As much buzz as the upcoming Avatar is getting, it's a steal that a starbond of someone appearing in the film could be trading at a non-premium level, let alone below adjus price. SWEAV is currently at $74.71 per share, while her TAG is $81,437,460. When SWEAV adjusts, it will reach $81.43. This is a nice gain of 8.3%; nothing amazing, but nothing to sneeze at in a little over three months. However, Avatar currently has a price of about $200.02 per share, meaning HSX traders think this is going to be a major grosser. This stock will likely soar, but is guaranteed to rise at least $6.72 per share.

Sunday, September 20, 2009

9/20/2009 Picks Part 3

Peter Fonda - PFOND

It's been 2 years since Peter Fonda starred in his last film, but this October will be appearing in Boondock Saints II. PFOND has fallen to $16.61, while his TAG is $37,066,143. His stock will leap up to a minimum of $33.88 after the release of Boondock, meaning a quick doubling of the stock value in only a few months . So if you max out on PFOND, you will walk away with $345,400.

9/20/2009 Picks Part 2

Nick Cannon - NCANN

The host of America's Got Talent will be starring in Ball Don't Lie in November, which should help his deflated stock price shoot back up. NCANN is currently at $10.35, less than half the value of its current price of $21,592,635. His stock will hit $20.46 once the film is released 2 months from now, meaning the stock will almost double in only a few months.

9/20/2009 Picks

James McAvoy - JMCAV

It's unclear when James McAvoy's next film will be released. According to IMDB, he has 3 films in pre-production, while Gnomeo and Juliet still has a long way to go before it is ready to be released. When his next film is released, he stands to gain big. His stock price is a severely deflated $17.13, while his TAG is $42, 820,266. When his TAG adjusts after his next release, it will hit $42.78, a gain of $25.65 per share. It may take awhile to collect, but any time a stock is guaranteed to more than double, it is a must buy.

Saturday, September 19, 2009

9/19/2009 Picks Part 4

Keri Russell - KERUS

The starbonds of big stars are the most widely traded, but trading in those who fly under the radar a bit can be much more financially rewarding. Keri Russell hasn't replicated her television success in the film world, but her appearances in Mission: Impossible III and Bedtime Stories have driven up the value of her TAG to $62,572,174. Yet her stock price remains at a deflated $44.37. When Crowley is released in March, her TAG will reach $58.82, a gain of $14.45 per share in half a year. If Crowley, starring Harrison Ford, does well, this stock will jump even higher. Just make sure to sell KERUS as soon as the stock adjusts after Crowley, because her next film to fall out of TAG range is Mission: Impossible III. Unless she gets cast in a hit movie, KERUS will take a big hit from this, so take your big gain and sell.

9/19/2009 Picks Part 3

Michelle Monaghan - MMONA

Michelle Monaghan has an indie film coming out to replace Mission: Impossible III in TAG range, yet she's a steal right now. This would be suprising, if not for the fact that MMONA has lost half its value in the past year since the release of Eagle Eye. The current price for MMONA is $32.63, while her TAG is $67,515,688. Once MMONA adjusts after Trucker is released (it is set for limited release on October 9th of this year), MMONA will adjust to a minimum of $40.84. It is unlikely Trucker will make much money, so the stock likely won't climb much higher than $41, but there's an easy $8 per share here, and it will only take a few months to collect.

9/19/2009 Picks Part 2

Saoirse Ronan - SRONA

It's been almost a year since Saoirse Ronan appeared in City of Ember, and her stock price has fallen to $12.49, significantly less than her TAG of $19,598,997. Like my last pick, Susan Sarandon, Ronan will appear later this year in The Lovely Bones. Once the film is released and her stock is adjusted, SRONA will reach $14.70, a small but respectable (and guaranteed) rise of 15% in only a few months.

Because SRONA will only have 4 films in her TAG, a small success from The Lovely Bones could lead to a big gain. If The Lovely Bones grosses $30 million, would push the stock to $22.20, a substantial gain. But even if it doesn't make a dime, this stock is a good buy.

Friday, September 18, 2009

9/19/2009 Picks

Susan Sarandon - SSARA

When Susan Sarandon's next film is released, it will knock the little-seen Romance and Cigarettes out of TAG range. This alone would make the buy tempting, but when you consider that the film replacing it is the Oscar-hyped and Peter Jackson helmed The Lovely Bones, the upside is great.

SSARA is currently trading at $34.13, while her TAG is $40,944,592. After the release of The Lovely Bones, SSARA will correct to $40.84, a gain of $6.71 per share (16.5%) in a little over 3 months, risk free.

And, of course, if The Lovely Bones is anywhere near as popular as the novel was, the gain will be much higher. But that, of course, is pure speculation.

9/18/09 Picks Part 5

Amanda Bynes - ABYNE

Though she's moved more towards television (her pilot Canned was, well, canned earlier this year), Bynes still has feature films in her future. She signed a two picture deal earlier this year with Screen Gems, and a sequel to Hairspray is in development.

Yet despite this, impatient investors have pushed ABYNE down to $28.66, well below her TAG of $65,680,666. Though her next film will push What a Girl Wants and its $36 million box office out of TAG range, a big gain is available here at no risk. Once her next film is released, the TAG will adjust to a minimum of $58.48, nearly a $30 gain per share. It will be awhile until you can collect, but Bynes will do another film soon and you will benefit from the impatience of those who sold shares of ABYNE.

9/18/09 Picks Part 4

LWISE - Len Wiseman

Like the last pick I offered, Alexander Payne, it is unclear when Len Wiseman's next film will be released. Wiseman has signed on to direct adaptations of two graphic novels for Dreamworks, Shrapnel and Atlantis Rising. Whenever he does make another movie, his stock stands to rise significantly.

Wiseman's current TAG is $82,776,673, while his stock is significantly deflated at $32.76. When his next film is released, the TAG will adjust to a minimum of $62.08, nearly doubling the value of the current price. Considering Wiseman's successful track record (his lowest grossing film pulled in over $50 million) and that there will only be four films to average out, this stock could jump significantly higher whenever his next film is released. If you have enough money to make a long term investment that you won't be able to collect on for a couple years, you can double your money on LWISE.

9/18/09 Picks Part 3

ALPAY - Alexander Payne

This one will take a little while to capitalize on, but it will be a huge gain. ALPAY is currently trading at $8.36, with a TAG of $31,329,967. When Alexander Payne's next movie comes out (when this is is unclear), the TAG will correct to a minimum of $31.26, a 374% gain. The downside is that its unclear when Alexander Payne's next film will be released. In August, FilmJunk reported that he will be directing The Descendants, to be released in 2011. Whether this will come to pass is unclear, but since Payne has not directed a feature length film since 2004's Sideways, it is only a matter of time until he directs another film. Even if you have to wait a few years, it is well worth it to rake in a minimum 374% gain, especially since buying the max number of shares only ties up $167,200. And when you consider that Payne's last two feature length films grossed at least $65 million each, ALPAY could soar. However, patience is required.

9/18/09 Picks Part 2

MGIBS - Mel Gibson

Some of the best sure-things on HSX can be found with starbonds of those who take a long time between projects (such as film directors). This long break causes people to sell their shares, driving down the price. Once the price gets low enough, the stock can be an easy way to pick up cash.

Mel Gibson has not had a film since 2006's Apocalypto, but in January, 2010 he will star in Edge of Darkness, his first role since 2003's The Singing Detective. Whether Mel can still carry a film to box office success remains to be seen, but even if Edge of Darkness doesn't make a dime, there is big profit to be made.

The current trade price for MGIBS is $70.58, a full $50.88 below his TAG. Though Edge of Darkness is knocking the $78 million grossing We Were Soldiers out of TAG range, the price for MGIBS is so low that a large profit will be made. When the TAG adjusts, MGIBS will reach $105.83, a gain of $35.25 per share (33%) in under half a year. If you can afford 50,000 shares of MGIBS (a cool $3,529,000), you will walk away with a minimum profit of $1,762,500, absolutely risk free. And if Mel still has his mojo, the profit will be even bigger.

9/18/09 Picks

CCRAW - Chace Crawford

Chace Crawford's current TAG is $12,214,094, with a trading price of $8.91. He's only appeared in two movies so far, but has Footloose coming out in June, 2010. Once Footloose is released and the price adjusts, his price will reach $12.21, a 27% gain in under a year. The added benefit is that because the price of CCRAW is so low right now, you can buy up the max number of shares while only tying up $178,200.00, so this is a good buy for people with smaller portals looking for a minimum of 27% gain in about 10 months. And if Footloose catches on with the teen crowd, who knows how high this can reach.

Thursday, September 17, 2009

9/17/09 Emmys Edition

Here's a way to make a quick $3900 (hey, every bit helps).

In the Emmy derivatives category, under Best Drama, short every single option. No matter who wins, you will make money.

If Mad Men wins, you will be out $13.06 per share. You will, however, gain $13.19 per share, for a net of $0.13 per share.

If LOST wins, you will be out $16.05 per share. You will gain $16.18 per share, for a net of $0.13 per share.

If Damages takes home the trophy, the damages are $20.47 per share. The gain will be $20.60. Once again $0.13 per share.

If it's Dexter, you're out $19.82, but you're up $19.95. Still $0.13.

For Breaking Bad, the bad news amounts to $16.96, but the good news is $17.09. Yup, $0.13.

Big Love will cost you $19.30 but bring in a dowry of $1943. $0.13.

Finally, House will cost $20.21, but bring in $20.34.

So, as you see, no matter what you choose, you can gain $0.13 per share. So, if you max out on shares, you can take in a quick $1300.


However, I promised a quick $3900, so we still have $2600 to go. To do this, buy every contender for Best Comedy.

If it's 30 Rock, you gain 12.02 per share, while losing $11.76. $0.26 per share.

If it's Entourage, you gain $19.56 per share, while dropping $19.30. $0.26.

Family Guy will bring in $20.34, losing $20.08. $0.26.

Flight of the Conchords takes in $19.30, losing $19.04, for $0.26.

How I Met Your Mother brings $19.43, losing $19.17, $0.26.

Weeds brings you $19.04, losing $18.78, for $0.26.

Finally, The Office would take in $16.57, dropping $16.31, still $0.26.

So, if you buy all shares of Best Comedy and short all shares of Best Drama, you gain a quick and easy $3900 that will be repaid Monday, September 21st. However, if you want to make your profit, make your purchases during this coming weekend so you don't pay brokerage fees, or you will lose your profit.

Finally, if you want to try to make a little extra to make it worth your while, you can take a risk and leave out a few shows in your purchase (for example, when buying all comedies, if you think Flight of the Conchords has no chance and want to leave it out, you can leave that out (or take a bigger risk and short it). This could earn you a bigger reward, but if you're wrong and it pulls an upset, you will be taking a big hit.

Happy trading.

9/17/09 Picks Part 2

OWILS - Owen Wilson

When The Fantastic Mr. Fox comes out later this year, Owen Wilson's stock will shoot up to what it should be. Right now his price is hovering at $66.80, but once the indie The Wendell Baker Story is taken out of his TAG, the stock will correct to $72.97, a $6.17 per share gain (8.5%). I'm having a tough time predicting what The Fantastic Mr. Fox will do in the box office, but even a modest $30 million gross would push the stock up 15.5% from its current price, a solid gain for a 3 month investment.

9/17/09 Picks

MFREE - Morgan Freeman

Later this year Morgan Freeman will star in Clint Eastwood's Invictus. This will push Feast of Love out of TAG range. His per-share price is $85.97, while his TAG is $100.31. Since Feast of Love grossed only $3,504,875, MFREE will shoot up once it adjusts. Not taking into account the grosses of Invictus, MFREE will reach $99.61, a gain of just under 14% in about 3.5 months. Buying 20,000 shares of MFREE will cost you $1,719,400, but the walkaway price is a guaranteed $1,992,200. The stock stands to gain much more, though, since Invictus could be a big grosser. With early Oscar buzz, a cast of Morgan Freeman and Matt Damon, and Clint Eastwood at the helm, this could make big gains on top of the guaranteed gains.

The average gross for Clint Eastwood directed films since 2000 is $67.29 million, with an average of $43.29 for films he does not star in. If Invictus matches the average of Clint's films that he does not star in, it would add $8.66 per share to MFREE's guaranteed price of 99.61, totaling 108.27. If the film only matches his lowest grossing film of the past decade, Letters from Iwo Jima, $2.75 per share will be added, totaling $102.36, a 16% gain from the current price. MFREE is a great buy for a 3.5 month turnaround.

Wednesday, September 16, 2009

9/16/2009 Picks Part 2

JBLAC - Jack Black

Jack Black's next film won't be out until winter of 2010, but if you have enough cash to spend $1,356,000 and leave it to gain interest for awhile, you will experience a large gain. When Gulliver's Travels comes out, delisting Walk Hard: The Dewey Cox Story, it will send JBLAC's price to $76.06, before his next film's profits are even taken into consideration, a nice 11% gain ($165,200 if you buy the maximum amount of shares). What makes this buy even more attractive is that his upcoming film is an adaptation of Gulliver's Travels. If the film were to match the box office of the financially disappointing Year One, it would send JBLAC's price to $84.73, a 20% gain. 11% over 15 months isn't aggressive investing, and I wouldn't recommend tying up your money if you have a portfolio of under $50M or so, but if you have uninvested cash, this is an easy gain of at least 11%.

9/16/2009 Picks

CNOLA - Christopher Nolan

Christopher Nolan's price has plummeted since the adjust of The Dark Knight. His price is down to $79.06. The film Inception will come out in July, 2010, pushing Memento out of TAG range. Even if Inception does not make a dime, once CNOLA adjusts, the price would be $115.14. This is a $36.08 profit per share, a 46% gain in 10 months. If you buy 20,000 shares of CNOLA and hold until it adjusts, you are guaranteed a gain of $721,600.00. Of course, Inception will make more than $0 (it has a current HSX value of $138.08). So there is plenty of room for profit on this one.

First post

The way to make big money on HSX, as long time players can tell you, is to max out, either long or short, on opening week releases. These prices will often swing wildly after a single weekend, giving astute traders a chance to rake in quick, cool millions.

This blog isn't about these kind of trades. Even the best prognosticators are often wildly off in their predictions. This blog is about finding quick values, sure things (yes, there are sure things in HSX due to the rules of the game). I will not make recommendations unless they are 90% likely or more to earn you money, and most of my picks will be absolute sure things.

I have lifetime earnings on the game of nearly half a billion dollars and am in the 99th percentile. While much of my wealth has been earned through opening week releases, I have earned many, many millions from making money exploiting the inefficiencies of the game. If you follow my picks, I guarantee you will too.